Patrick Brown: Climate Scientist, Head of Weather Analytics at IBKR On Weather Prediction Markets

Podcast: Confessions Of A Market Maker · @MarketMakerSins

Opublikowano: 2026-06-29

Patrick T. Brown is a Ph.D. climate scientist — Duke, NASA, NOAA— and now Head of Climate Analytics at Interactive Brokers, where he prices temperature and climate contracts on ForecastEx. We come at weather markets from opposite ends: the trader scanning the books & the scientist who's helping to create them. We come to the same conclusion: the market is a best forecaster you can find. We discuss how academic incentives quietly shape climate science, why a crowd of bettors out forecasts career meteorologists, the best temperature models, AI role in forecasting, and his honest advice for...