ARDL Models and Stock Market Noise
Podcast: Trail-Boss Radio: AI, Tech & Digital Independence · Dan Johnson | Trail-Boss Radio
Opublikowano: 2026-10-20
ARDL Models and Stock Market Noise | Bull Run for INVA 🤠 Can a stock forecast tell us where the market is headed—or are we just listening to the noise? In this episode of Trail Boss Bull Run Weekly, we put INVA through four separate ARDL statistical model runs, examining inflation (CPI), the Federal Funds Rate, the 10-Year Treasury Yield, and WTI crude oil. With INVA closing at $20.78 for the week ending October 16, 2026, our models delivered four different readings: CPI inflation: $20.71 forecast — down 0.35%. Federal Funds Rate: $20.89 forecast — up 0.55%. 10-Year Treasury Yield: $2...